A meta-analysis of GFR slope as a surrogate endpoint for kidney failure.

Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline is causally associated with kidney failure and is a candidate surrogate endpoint for clinical trials of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Analyses across a diverse spectrum of interventions and populations is required for acceptance of GFR decline as an endpoint. In an analysis of individual participant data, for each of 66 studies (total of 186,312 participants), we estimated treatment effects on the total GFR slope, computed from baseline to 3 years, and chronic slope, starting at 3 months after randomization, and on the clinical endpoint (doubling of serum creatinine, GFR < 15 ml min-1 per 1.73 m2 or kidney failure with replacement therapy). We used a Bayesian mixed-effects meta-regression model to relate treatment effects on GFR slope with those on the clinical endpoint across all studies and by disease groups (diabetes, glomerular diseases, CKD or cardiovascular diseases). Treatment effects on the clinical endpoint were strongly associated with treatment effects on total slope (median coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.97 (95% Bayesian credible interval (BCI) 0.82-1.00)) and moderately associated with those on chronic slope (R2 = 0.55 (95% BCI 0.25-0.77)). There was no evidence of heterogeneity across disease. Our results support the use of total slope as a primary endpoint for clinical trials of CKD progression.

OVERTURE: A Worldwide, Prospective, Observational Study of Disease Characteristics in Patients With ADPKD.

Introduction: The course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) varies greatly among affected individuals, necessitating natural history studies to characterize the determinants and effects of disease progression. Therefore, we conducted an observational, longitudinal study (OVERTURE; NCT01430494) of patients with ADPKD. Methods: This prospective study enrolled a large international population (N = 3409) encompassing a broad spectrum of ages (12-78 years), chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages (G1-G5), and Mayo imaging classifications (1A-1E). Outcomes included kidney function, complications, quality of life, health care resource utilization, and work productivity. Results: Most subjects (84.4%) completed ≥12 months of follow-up. Consistent with earlier findings, each additional l/m of height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was associated with worse outcomes, including lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (regression coefficient 17.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 15.94-18.11) and greater likelihood of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 1.25, 95% CI 1.17-1.34), kidney pain (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11-1.33), and hematuria (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.21-1.51). Greater baseline htTKV was also associated with worse patient-reported health-related quality of life (e.g., ADPKD Impact Scale physical score, regression coefficient 1.02, 95% CI 0.65-1.39), decreased work productivity (e.g., work days missed, regression coefficient 0.55, 95% CI 0.18-0.92), and increased health care resource utilization (e.g., hospitalizations, OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.33-1.64) during follow-up. Conclusion: Although limited by a maximum 3-year duration of follow-up, this observational study characterized the burden of ADPKD in a broad population and indicated the predictive value of kidney volume for outcomes other than kidney function.

Drug Development in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease: Opportunities and Challenges.

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a hereditary disorder characterized by relentless growth of innumerable renal cysts bilaterally, associated with decline in glomerular filtration rate over the course of decades. The burden of ADPKD and its treatment is associated with a significant economic and societal cost. Despite several clinical studies conducted over the past decade, only one treatment has been approved by regulatory agencies to slow disease progression in ADPKD. Elucidating feasible endpoints and clear regulatory pathway may stimulate interest in developing and translating novel therapeutics. This review summarizes the recent progress, challenges, and opportunities in drug development for ADPKD. We discuss the traditional and accelerated regulatory approval pathways, the various clinical trials endpoints, and biomarkers in ADPKD. Furthermore, we propose strategies that could optimize the clinical trial design in ADPKD. Finally, we owe it to our ADPKD patient community to strive for international collaborative studies geared toward discovery and validation of surrogate endpoints and to rally for funded infrastructure that would allow phase 3 master protocols in ADPKD. These advances will serve to derisk and potentially accelerate the development of therapies and eventually bring hope to patients and families who endure through this devastating disease.

What Is Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease?

This JAMA Patient Page describes autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease, its signs and symptoms, diagnosis, and treatment options.

Change in Albuminuria and GFR Slope as Joint Surrogate End Points for Kidney Failure: Implications for Phase 2 Clinical Trials in CKD.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Changes in albuminuria and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression, and studies have demonstrated that each is associated with treatment effects on clinical end points. In this study, the authors sought to develop a conceptual framework that combines both surrogate end points to better predict treatment effects on clinical end points in Phase 2 trials. The results demonstrate that information from the combined treatment effects on albuminuria and GFR slope improves the prediction of treatment effects on the clinical end point for Phase 2 trials with sample sizes between 100 and 200 patients and duration of follow-up ranging from 1 to 2 years. These findings may help inform design of clinical trials for interventions aimed at slowing CKD progression. BACKGROUND: Changes in log urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression. Whether combining these surrogate end points might strengthen inferences about clinical benefit is unknown. METHODS: Using Bayesian meta-regressions across 41 randomized trials of CKD progression, we characterized the combined relationship between the treatment effects on the clinical end point (sustained doubling of serum creatinine, GFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , or kidney failure) and treatment effects on UACR change and chronic GFR slope after 3 months. We applied the results to the design of Phase 2 trials on the basis of UACR change and chronic GFR slope in combination. RESULTS: Treatment effects on the clinical end point were strongly associated with the combination of treatment effects on UACR change and chronic slope. The posterior median meta-regression coefficients for treatment effects were -0.41 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, -0.64 to -0.17) per 1 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year for the treatment effect on GFR slope and -0.06 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, -0.90 to 0.77) for the treatment effect on UACR change. The predicted probability of clinical benefit when considering both surrogates was determined primarily by estimated treatment effects on UACR when sample size was small (approximately 60 patients per treatment arm) and follow-up brief (approximately 1 year), with the importance of GFR slope increasing for larger sample sizes and longer follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In Phase 2 trials of CKD with sample sizes of 100-200 patients per arm and follow-up between 1 and 2 years, combining information from treatment effects on UACR change and GFR slope improved the prediction of treatment effects on clinical end points.

Association of Longitudinal Urinary Metabolic Biomarkers With ADPKD Severity and Response to Metformin in TAME-PKD Clinical Trial Participants.

Introduction: Dysregulated cellular metabolism contributes to autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) pathogenesis. The Trial of Administration of Metformin in Polycystic Kidney Disease (TAME-PKD) tested the effects of metformin treatment over 2 years in adult ADPKD patients with mild-moderate disease severity. Metformin was found to be safe and tolerable with an insignificant trend toward reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline compared to placebo. Here we tested whether targeted urinary metabolic biomarkers measured in TAME-PKD participants correlated with disease progression, severity, and metformin treatment in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses. Methods: Concentrations of total protein, targeted metabolites (lactate, pyruvate, and succinate), and glycolytic enzymes (pyruvate kinase-M2, lactate dehydrogenase-A, and pyruvate dehydrogenase kinase-1) were measured and normalized by creatinine or osmolality in urine specimens and compared with height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV) and eGFR at the different study timepoints. Results: In cross-sectional analyses utilizing placebo group data, urinary succinate normalized by creatinine negatively correlated with ln (htTKV), whereas protein excretion strongly positively correlated with ln (htTKV), and negatively correlated with eGFR. Significant time-varying negative associations occurred with eGFR and the lactate/pyruvate ratio and with urine protein normalized by osmolality, indicating correlations of these biomarkers with disease progression. In secondary analyses, urinary pyruvate normalized by osmolality was preserved in metformin-treated participants but declined in placebo over the 2-year study period with a significant between-arm difference, suggesting time-dependent urinary pyruvate changes may serve as a discriminator for metformin treatment effects in this study population. Conclusion: Proteinuria with enhanced glycolytic and reduced oxidative metabolic markers generally correlated with disease severity and risk of progression in the TAME-PKD study population.

Evaluation of Variation in the Performance of GFR Slope as a Surrogate End Point for Kidney Failure in Clinical Trials that Differ by Severity of CKD.

BACKGROUND: The GFR slope has been evaluated as a surrogate end point for kidney failure in meta-analyses on a broad collection of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in CKD. These analyses evaluate how accurately a treatment effect on GFR slope predicts a treatment effect on kidney failure. We sought to determine whether severity of CKD in the patient population modifies the performance of GFR slope. METHODS: We performed Bayesian meta-regression analyses on 66 CKD RCTs to evaluate associations between effects on GFR slope (the chronic slope and the total slope over 3 years, expressed as mean differences in ml/min per 1.73 m2/yr) and those of the clinical end point (doubling of serum creatinine, GFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2, or kidney failure, expressed as a log-hazard ratio), where models allow interaction with variables defining disease severity. We evaluated three measures (baseline GFR in 10 ml/min per 1.73 m2, baseline urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [UACR] per doubling in mg/g, and CKD progression rate defined as the control arm chronic slope, in ml/min per 1.73 m2/yr) and defined strong evidence for modification when 95% posterior credible intervals for interaction terms excluded zero. RESULTS: There was no evidence for modification by disease severity when evaluating 3-year total slope (95% credible intervals for the interaction slope: baseline GFR [-0.05 to 0.03]; baseline UACR [-0.02 to 0.04]; CKD progression rate [-0.07 to 0.02]). There was strong evidence for modification in evaluations of chronic slope (95% credible intervals: baseline GFR [0.02 to 0.11]; baseline UACR [-0.11 to -0.02]; CKD progression rate [0.01 to 0.15]). CONCLUSIONS: These analyses indicate consistency of the performance of total slope over 3 years, which provides further evidence for its validity as a surrogate end point in RCTs representing varied CKD populations.

Development of a Patient-Reported Outcomes Tool to Assess Pain and Discomfort in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Pain has been identified as a core outcome for individuals with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), but no disease-specific pain assessment has been developed using current development methodology for patient-reported outcomes (PRO) instruments. We developed and validated an ADPKD-specific pain questionnaire: the ADPKD Pain and Discomfort Scale (ADPKD-PDS). METHODS: Conceptual underpinnings were drawn from literature review, concept elicitation, expert consultation, and measurement performance. In the qualitative analysis phase, concepts were elicited from focus groups of adults with ADPKD, and the resulting draft instrument was refined using cognitive debriefing interviews with individuals with ADPKD. For quantitative analysis, adults with ADPKD completed the draft instrument and other PRO tools in an online survey, and a follow-up survey was conducted 3-4 weeks later. Survey responses were analyzed for item-level descriptive statistics, latent model fit statistics, item discrimination, item- and domain-level psychometric statistics, test-retest reliability, responsiveness to change, and convergent validity. RESULTS: In the qualitative phase, 46 focus groups were conducted in 18 countries with 293 participants. Focus groups described three conceptually distinct types of ADPKD-related pain and discomfort (dull kidney pain, sharp kidney pain, and fullness/discomfort). In the quantitative phase, 298 adults with ADPKD completed the online survey, and 108 participants completed the follow-up survey. After iterative refinement of the instrument, latent variable measurement models showed very good fit (comparative fit and nonnormed fit indices both 0.99), as did item- and domain-level psychometric characteristics. The final ADPKD-PDS contains 20 items assessing pain severity and interference with activities over a 7-day recall period. CONCLUSIONS: The ADPKD-PDS is the first validated tool for systematically assessing pain and discomfort in ADPKD.

Venglustat, a Novel Glucosylceramide Synthase Inhibitor, in Patients at Risk of Rapidly Progressing ADPKD: Primary Results of a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 2/3 Randomized Clinical Trial.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by the formation of multiple kidney cysts that leads to growth in total kidney volume (TKV) and progression to kidney failure. Venglustat is a glucosylceramide synthase inhibitor that has been shown to inhibit cyst growth and reduce kidney failure in preclinical models of ADPKD. STUDY DESIGN: STAGED-PKD was a 2-stage, multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled phase 2/3 study in adults with ADPKD at risk of rapidly progressive disease, who were selected based on Mayo Clinic imaging classification of ADPKD class 1C, 1D, or 1E and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-89.9mL/min/1.73m2. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Enrollment included 236 and 242 patients in stages 1 and 2, respectively. INTERVENTIONS: In trial stage 1, the patients were randomized 1:1:1 to venglustat, 8mg; venglustat, 15mg; or placebo. In stage 2, the patients were randomized 1:1 to venglustat, 15mg (highest dose identified as safe and well tolerated in stage 1), or placebo. OUTCOMES: Primary end points were rate of change in TKV over 18 months in stage 1 and eGFR slope over 24 months in stage 2. Secondary end points were eGFR slope over 18 months (stage 1), rate of change in TKV (stage 2), and safety/tolerability, pain, and fatigue (stages 1 and 2). RESULTS: A prespecified interim futility analysis showed that venglustat treatment had no effect on the annualized rate of change in TKV over 18 months (stage 1) and had a faster rate of decline in eGFR slope over 24 months (stage 2). Due to this lack of efficacy, the study was terminated early. LIMITATIONS: The short follow-up period after the end of treatment and limited generalizability of the findings. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with rapidly progressing ADPKD, treatment with venglustat at either 8mg or 15mg showed no change in the rate of change in TKV and a faster rate of eGFR decline in STAGED-PKD despite a dose-dependent decrease in plasma glucosylceramide levels. FUNDING: This study was funded by Sanofi. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT03523728.

The STAGED-PKD 2-Stage Adaptive Study With a Patient Enrichment Strategy and Treatment Effect Modeling for Improved Study Design Efficiency in Patients With ADPKD.

Rationale & Objective: Venglustat, a glucosylceramide synthase inhibitor, inhibits cyst growth and reduces kidney failure in mouse models of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). STAGED-PKD aims to determine the safety and efficacy of venglustat and was designed using patient enrichment for progression to end-stage kidney disease and modeling from prior ADPKD trials. Study Design: STAGED-PKD is a 2-stage, international, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial in adults with ADPKD (Mayo Class 1C-1E) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 45-<90 mL/min/1.73 m2 at risk of rapidly progressive disease. Enrichment for rapidly progressing patients was identified based on retrospective analysis of total kidney volume (TKV) and eGFR slope from the combined Consortium for Radiologic Imaging Studies of Polycystic Kidney Disease and HALT Progression of Polycystic Kidney Disease A studies. Setting & Participants: Target enrollment in stages 1 and 2 was 240 and 320 patients, respectively. Interventions: Stage 1 randomizes patients 1:1:1 to venglustat 8 mg or 15 mg once daily or placebo. Stage 2 randomizes patients 1:1 to placebo or venglustat, with the preferred dose based on stage 1 safety data. Outcomes: Primary endpoints are TKV growth rate over 18 months in stage 1 and eGFR slope over 24 months in stage 2. Secondary endpoints include: annualized rate of change in eGFR from baseline to 18 months (stage 1); annualized rate of change in TKV based on magnetic resonance imaging from baseline to 18 months (stage 2); and safety, tolerability, pain, and fatigue (stages 1 and 2). Limitations: If stage 1 is unsuccessful, patients enrolled in the trial may develop drug-related adverse events that can have long-lasting effects. Conclusions: Modeling allows the design and powering of a 2-stage combined study to assess venglustat's impact on TKV growth and eGFR slope. Stage 1 TKV assessment via a nested approach allows early evaluation of efficacy and increased efficiency of the trial design by reducing patient numbers and trial duration. Funding: This study was funded by Sanofi. Trial registration: STAGED-PKD has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT03523728.

A Systematic Review of Reported Outcomes in ADPKD Studies.

Introduction: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a progressive genetic kidney disease. Studies of ADPKD presented results using different outcome measures. We aimed to summarize outcomes reported in ADPKD studies, including composite outcomes. Methods: We conducted a systematic review of published studies that included patients with ADPKD and measured kidney-related outcomes. We searched published databases and included all studies regardless of design with at least 100 participants for observational studies. We excluded studies that were limited to dialysis, transplant, or pregnancy outcomes in patients with ADPKD. Results: This review includes data from 175 published articles (49 randomized controlled trials, 2 interventional clinical trials, 30 post hoc analyses, and 94 observational studies). We identified 214 different outcomes, and we categorized them into the 24 main outcome domains. In addition, the review identified 13 articles that reported 9 different composite outcomes. Conclusion: The finding highlights the inconsistency in the outcomes reported by researchers and how they are measured in ADPKD studies. The variability in the outcomes reported supports the need to standardize outcomes in ADPKD studies.

Design and Basic Characteristics of a National Patient-Powered Registry in ADPKD.

Background: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common form of inherited kidney disease worldwide. Over the past five years, the therapeutic pipeline for ADPKD has expanded, leading to a growing need for patient enrollment in clinical trials and improved understanding of patient-centered outcomes that can be used in trial design. To advance these goals, the Polycystic Kidney Disease Foundation (PKDF) established a national web-based ADPKD Registry. Methods: The ADPKD Registry is hosted on a secure, HIPAA-compliant, online platform (IQVIA, oc-meridian.com/pkdcure). Participants are consented through the online system and complete a series of modules. The Core Questionnaire includes patient-reported diagnosis, latest creatinine values, and comorbidities. Additional modules include surveys of family history, diet, quality of life, extrarenal manifestations, and attitudes surrounding research participation. Results: As of October 2021, 1563 ADPKD patients across the United States have registered and completed the Core Questionnaire. Participants have a median age of 44 years and are 72% women, 93% White, with 4% self-identifying as Hispanic/Latino and 2% as Black. All CKD stages are present, including post kidney transplant. To date, seven clinical studies have used the Registry as a recruitment tool. Additionally, quality-of-life burden scores revealed a correlation with disease stage as determined by kidney function. Conclusions: The Registry described here is the only one of its kind and is a valuable longitudinal research tool encompassing all stages of ADPKD. The registry will allow investigators to pursue a range of research questions related to the management of ADPKD, including definition of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes and recruitment for a variety of observational and therapeutic clinical protocols.

Establishing a core outcome measure for pain in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: a consensus workshop report.

BACKGROUND: Pain is the highest prioritized patient-reported outcome in people with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) but remains infrequently and inconsistently measured in clinical trials and poorly managed in clinical settings. A recently completed systematic review of pain in ADPKD identified 26 different outcome measures. None of these measures were considered appropriate as a core outcome measure due to the lack of patient-important dimensions, inadequate content, relatively long duration of completion time and limited evidence to support psychometric robustness. METHODS: We convened an international Standardized Outcomes in Nephrology-Polycystic Kidney Disease consensus workshop involving 21 patients/caregivers and 40 health professionals (clinicians, nurses, researchers, policy makers and industry representatives) from 18 countries to discuss the identification or development of a core outcome measure for pain. RESULTS: Four themes were identified highlighting fundamental issues for the measurement of pain in ADPKD: distressing and disrupting life participation; variability and ambiguity in defining pain; stigma, frustration and adaptation to pain; and ensuring validity and feasibility of pain measures. CONCLUSIONS: Existing measures were found to be insufficient in capturing pain as a core outcome and there was consensus on the need for a new validated measure that is simple, succinct and addresses the impact of pain on life participation. This measure will facilitate the appropriate prioritization of pain in all trials and guide clinical decision making in people with ADPKD.

Volume Progression and Imaging Classification of Polycystic Liver in Early Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The progression of polycystic liver disease is not well understood. The purpose of the study is to evaluate the associations of polycystic liver progression with other disease progression variables and classify liver progression on the basis of patient's age, height-adjusted liver cystic volume, and height-adjusted liver volume. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Prospective longitudinal magnetic resonance images from 670 patients with early autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease for up to 14 years of follow-up were evaluated to measure height-adjusted liver cystic volume and height-adjusted liver volume. Among them, 245 patients with liver cyst volume >50 ml at baseline were included in the longitudinal analysis. Linear mixed models on log-transformed height-adjusted liver cystic volume and height-adjusted liver volume were fitted to approximate mean annual rate of change for each outcome. The association of sex, body mass index, genotype, baseline height-adjusted total kidney volume, and Mayo imaging class was assessed. We calculated height-adjusted liver cystic volume ranges for each specific age and divided them into five classes on the basis of annual percentage increase in height-adjusted liver cystic volume. RESULTS: The mean annual growth rate of height-adjusted liver cystic volume was 12% (95% confidence interval, 11.1% to 13.1%; P<0.001), whereas that for height-adjusted liver volume was 2% (95% confidence interval, 1.9% to 2.6%; P<0.001). Women had higher baseline height-adjusted liver cystic volume than men, but men had higher height-adjusted liver cystic volume growth rate than women by 2% (95% confidence interval, 0.4% to 4.5%; P=0.02). Whereas the height-adjusted liver cystic volume growth rate decreased in women after menopause, no decrease was observed in men at any age. Body mass index, genotype, and baseline height-adjusted total kidney volume were not associated with the growth rate of height-adjusted liver cystic volume or height-adjusted liver volume. According to the height-adjusted liver cystic volume growth rate, patients were classified into five classes (number of women, men in each class): A (24, six); B (44, 13); C (43, 48); D (28, 17); and E (13, nine). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with height-adjusted liver volume, the use of height-adjusted liver cystic volume showed greater separations in volumetric progression of polycystic liver disease. Similar to the Mayo imaging classification for the kidney, the progression of polycystic liver disease may be categorized on the basis of patient's age and height-adjusted liver cystic volume.